Forex volatility ‘to hurt overall outlook for Mideast non-financial corporates’
ARAB NEWS - Sun, Dec 18th 2016 12:00 AM
Forex volatility ‘to hurt overall outlook for Mideast non-financial corporates’
DUBAI: Low economic growth, weak consumer and business confidence, and foreign exchange volatility will keep the overall outlook for Turkish, Middle Eastern and South African non-financial corporates in 2017 negative, says Moody’s Investors Service in a report.
However, some investment grade rated companies such as those in Turkey will remain resilient.
Moody’s report is part of a series of 2017 credit outlooks that provide insight into next year’s credit conditions across all sectors.
“Our overall negative outlook for Turkish, Middle Eastern and South African companies in 2017 is driven by weak consumer and investor confidence, continuing currency volatility and varying geopolitical risks. However, some corporates including Turkish investment grade rated names remain relatively resilient to domestic economic slowdown by virtue of their market leadership positions, strong balance sheets, healthy liquidity and manageable FX exposure,” said Rehan Akbar, Moody’s assistant vice president — analyst and author of the report.
GCC companies, particularly those in oil and gas and oilfield services, are being hurt by low oil prices, which are limiting growth prospects in the region and reducing companies’ financial buffers.
Liquidity is also tightening, but should remain manageable for large corporates.
In South Africa, companies will be hit by the low growth environment with Moody’s GDP growth expectations of 1.1 percent for 2017, political uncertainty, weak consumer consumption and low capital investment spend, as well as rand volatility.
However, rated companies generally are geographically diversified so their exposure is not limited to South Africa, and have healthy balance sheets with manageable liquidity positions to weather the macro environment.
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